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CONTRASTING ASIAN SUCCESS STORIES:
CREATIVE DESTRUCTION, MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIVITY
AND ECONOMIC FLEXIBILITY IN TAIWAN AND KOREA
Two of the most successful Southeast Asian economies, Taiwan and
South
Korea, contrast dramatically in their capacity to withstand economic
crises.
Research by Bee Yan Aw, Sukkyun Chung and Mark Roberts,
published in
the November 2003 issue of the Economic Journal, reveals systematic
differences in the flexibility of their industrial structures, the
competitiveness of
their product markets and the working of their capital markets
all of which
mean that Taiwan is better placed to respond to negative external
shocks.
The researchers analyse data on firms in seven manufacturing industries
in
South Korea and Taiwan. Their results show that in contrast to South
Korea,
Taiwan has a much more flexible industrial structure, characterised
by
extremely rapid turnover of firms with newcomers establishing their
place in
the market by forcing old-timers out of business. As the successful
entrants
and surviving incumbent firms are more efficient than the firms
that die, they
boost productivity across the manufacturing sector.
The driving force behind this process of creative destruction
in Taiwan is that
there are few impediments to entry and even fewer obstacles in the
way of
bankruptcy. Consequently, compared with South Korea, Taiwanese industries
have higher rates of producer turnover, a less concentrated market
structure,
smaller productivity dispersion across plants, smaller productivity
differential
between surviving and failing producers and a smaller percentage
of
producers operating at low productivity levels.
These patterns are consistent with strong competitive pressures
in Taiwan
that lead to market selection based on productivity differences.
In contrast, the
reverse patterns in Korea are consistent with impediments to exit
or entry that
insulate inefficient producers from market pressures.
Comparing the 1986 and 1991 figures for Taiwan with those in 1988
and 1993
for Korea, volatility rates for Taiwan are between 1.5 and 2.5 times
higher
than Korea. This greater heterogeneity in productivity among plants
in Korea
is accompanied by a higher percentage of plants in Korea operating
at low
productivity levels.
Introducing information on the entry or exit status of plant reveals
that
productivity differentials between plants that fail and those that
survive are
over twice as large in Korea relative to the differentials in the
same industries
in Taiwan. The productivity gap averages around 5% in Taiwan while
the
corresponding figure for Korea exceeds 10%. And focusing on surviving
plants in the two countries reveals that incumbent plants in Korea
are more
likely to be in the low-productivity tail of the distribution.
All of these patterns are consistent with first, impediments to
exit or entry and
second, greater reliance on non-market allocation of capital in
Korea, both of
which weaken market selection forces and result in the survival
of more lowproductivity producers in Korea than in Taiwan.
Korean entry costs may be higher because the less developed network
of
subcontractors leads to more internal production and higher initial
investment
expenditures. High entry costs reduce the flow of new producers,
making it
easier for low-productivity incumbents to survive, reducing the
amount of exit
and resulting in an industry characterised by a higher proportion
of lowproductivity producers. Only the lowest productivity plants
would find it optimal to exit, leading to large productivity differentials
between exiting and
incumbent plants.
Alternatively, investment subsidies to Korean firms in the 1980s
could have
resulted in the channelling of credit at negative real rates of
interest to Koreas
conglomerates. Any factor that distorts the linkage between underlying
productivity and future profitability may weaken market selection
forces,
reduce entry and exit and promote the survival of low-productivity
producers.
The overall stronger competitive environment in which troubled
businesses
are pushed out of the market to allow new ones to start up in Taiwan
relative
to that of Korea clearly contributes to the greater flexibility
of the economy that
may be crucial in withstanding negative external shocks and allowing
economies to avoid economic crisis.
ENDS
Notes for Editors: Productivity, Output, and Failure: A Comparison
of
Taiwanese and Korean Manufacturers by Bee Yan Aw, Sukkyun
Chung and
Mark J. Roberts is published in the November 2003 issue of the Economic
Journal.
Aw and Roberts are at Pennsylvania State University; Chung is in
the Ministry
of Finance and Economy, Republic of Korea.
For Further Information: contact RES Media Consultant Romesh Vaitilingam
on 0117-983-9770 or 07768-661095 (email: romesh@compuserve.com);
Bee
Yan Aw via email on Byr@psu.edu;
Sukkyun Chung on schung@mic.go.kr;
or
Mark Roberts on mroberts@psu.edu.
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