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Issue and Page Numbers: Volume 105, Issue 4 - September 1995, pp 916 - 928

Article Title: 'Innovative Activity over the Business Cycle' by Geroski and Walters

File size: 17KB

Description of data:

The ASCII file econ_j.txt contain the three data series used to generate the results in Geroski and Walters (1995) "Innovative Activity over the Business Cycle", EJ, 105:431, 916-928.

The series labelled PAT is from the Science Policy Research Unit (SPRU) at the University of Sussex and represents an annual count of the number of patents awarded by the United States Patents and Trademarks Office to UK registered companies from 1883 to 1992.

The series labelled INN is also from SPRU and represents an annual count of innovations defined as "the successful commercial introduction of new or improved products, processes and materials introduced in Britain between 1945 and 1983" (see Geroski and Walters ref to Townsend et al (1981) "Innovations in Britain since 1945" or Pavitt et al (1987) "The Size Distribution of Innovating Firms in the UK, 1945-1985", Journal of Industrial Economics, 35, 297-316 for more details). The data were generated as part of a large scale, one off study into the incidence of post War innovative activity in the UK.

The series labelled OUT is from Table 15 "Index of Output of the Production Industries (Total Manufacturing Industry)", CSO Economic Trends Annual Supplement 1992, series DVIS and represents an index of manufacturing output from 1948 to 1992.

Additionally, the first paragraph of section II.4 on page 924 mentions replicating the reported results using three other measures of demand. The first is an index of GDP at current factor cost (1985=100), the second GDP at constant factor cost in 1985 prices and the third an index of non-oil manufacturing output. These three series are all taken from CSO Economic Trends Annual Supplement 1992.

Moreover, the second paragraph on page 925 mentions relating the longest patents sample to a longer demand sample. The post 1947 data for this demand sample is the same as OUT and that for the period 1883-1947 is taken from "Total Industrial Production" in Feinstein (1972) Statistical Tables of National Income, Expenditure and Output of the UK, 1855-1965, Cambridge University Press, and spliced to the later sample. This series includes Irish industrial production (always less than 2% of total UK industrial production) until 1920.

All regression results reported use Ordinary Least Squares estimators and data analysis was conducted using TSP 4.3, Stata 4.0, PcFiml 8.0 and REG-X (Professor Steven Hall's econometrics package which can be downloaded free of charge from the LBS Web page http://www.lbs.lon.ac.uk).

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Geroski.exe (17KB)

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